Political betting offers a unique way to leverage your analytical skills on elections, referendums, and even geopolitical events. However, your opportunities are only as good as your operator. That’s༒ why we’ve compiled everything you need to find and maximise your opportunities on the best sites for political betting.
- 1 Top Bookmakers We Recommend for Political Betting
- 2 Best Politics Betting Sites Reviewed
- 3 Kamala Har🅷ris vs Donald Trump — Who’ll Be t🐷he 47th President
- 4 UK Political Betting Markets
- 5 Rest-of-the-World Political Betting Markets
- 6 Betting on Politics Explained
- 7 Why Should You Bet on Politics?
- 8 How To Bet on Politics & Elections
- 9 Top Politics Betting Tips
- 10 ThePuntersPage Final Say
- 11 Political Betting FAQs
Top Bookmakers We Recommend for Political Betting
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Best Politics Betting Sites Reviewed
Ensure you only experience the most competitive odds and the broadest selection of political odds possible by utilizing the best sites for political betting. To help you discover your ideal operator, here’s three of our absolute favourites and what makes them so special.
1. Parimatch — Election Specialists
Looking to bet on UK and U.S. elections? Few political betting sites can compete with the extraordinary Parimatch. They offer competitive election result odds way in advance of most ﷽alternatives, with as wide a range of candidates as you’re l🌳ikely to find.
They also provide a diverse range of markets for election-related events. You canไ bet on specifics, like how individual states will vote or who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party. Past odds have included vote percentage and voter turnout odds to truly test your analytical skills.
And they’re exceptionally accommodating for newcomers, with thꦕeir user-friendly design and detailed explanations of key markets that make it easy to navigate and maximise your politi♛cal betting options.
Plus, part of their Bet £10 Get £20 in Free Bets welcome offer is available for use on politics markets (two of the four £5 free bets). “Lucky Dips” can also be applied to betting on politics, providing even more ways to enhance your b𝓡etting experience.
- Top pick for election odds
- Features state-specific U.S. markets
- Odds to challenge your political insight and analysis
- Provides detailed explanations of several markets
- Perfect for newcomers to political betting
- Lacks a wider range of international options
- Welcome offer partially restricted from use with politics markets
2. bet365 — World-Class Political Betting Variety
If your interest in politics spans the globe, there’s no operator more adept at providing an impressively international collection of odds than betting icons bet365.
While many top UK bookmakers focus primar𒐪ily on UK and U.S. markets, here you can bet on political events from around the world — from the next president of Ireland to the state elections in Australia. Plus, you can request additional markets for near limitless opportunities.
And bet365 backs them up with the top-tier odds for which they’re famo🔥us. Even if a competitor offers odds on that market, which is not alwaᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚ𒀱ᩚᩚᩚys the case, it is likely that bet365 can provide you with better returns.
Moreover, they’re one of the few bookmakers offering frequent bet credits that can be used on political markets. Given their reputation for high-quality promotions and a diverse range of offers, this is a huge advantage over most alternatives. For more ways to bet and bigger returns if you win, bet365 continue ᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚ𒀱ᩚᩚᩚto lead the industry.
- Covers political events from around the world
- Consistently exceptional odds
- Allows requests for additional betting options
- Many unique markets
- Bet credits can be used on politics
- Fewer U.S. election markets than some
- Few political markets benefit from bet boosts
3. BetVictor — Top Pick for Political Promotions
BetVictor provides a strong platform for anyone interested in political betting. It primarily focuses on U.S. and UK politics, but is far from limited. Specialised odds in the past have included party leadership contests, referendum outcomes, the UK rejoining the EU, and even local elections. If your interests lie in these regions, BetVictor sportsbook has a wealth of options to explore.
They are also exceptionally generous when it comes to promotions. Their sports welcome offer includes £20 in free bets when you place a £10 bet at odds of 2.00 or greater on any mark♉et, making it an ideal way to explore this betting juggernaut’s political 🌌offering.
Plus, “Lucky Dip” special markets ar▨e also available for political events, where you can rec🅘eive fantastic bet boosts through a random selection via a virtual spin of the wheel. But even without promotions, the odds are consistently impressive.
And thanks to BetVictor’s excellent design — available on both ꦰdesktop and mobile apps, it’s easy to take full advantage of their offer.
- Lucky Dips on major political events
- Free bets applicable to political markets
- User-friendly design maximises your betting experience
- Great for events based in the UK and USA
- Strong odds on all markets tested
- Geographically limited
- Not all promotions suitable for political odds.
Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump — Who’ll Be the 47th President
Predicting the next president🔯 of the United S🍨tates is a challenging task given the unprecedented twists in this election cycle.
The road to this point has been turbulent. Concerns about dominated headlines for mon𒆙ths, peaking after a disastrous , where his vulnerabilities were on display for a full 90 minutes.
The fallout was swift. called for Biden’s resignation, with 15-term Texas Congressman Lloyd Duggett urging him to “make the painful and difficult decision to withdraw” from the race. On July 21st, Biden did just that, and endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris, which had an immediate and dramati🍃c impact on the polls and this market.
The surprises didn’t stop there. On July 13th, Donald Trump narrowly escaped with his life after an during an open-air campaign.
Influential independent candidate of the race, throwing his support behind Donald Trump. Meanwhile, Trump’s choice of running mate, JD Vance, has sparked controversy. In fact, polls from suggest Vance could be the least popular V🍌P candidate in modern history.
These developments, along with others ye✅t to unfold, all significantly impact the outcome of the el🎐ection. Analysing this myriad of factors to predict who will become the next U.S president is likely to be as challenging as any alternative political betting markets.
Harris Revived Democrats, Polls Show
In June, Biden and Trump were locked in a tight race, each polling at 44%. However, as concerns about the president’s health grew, so did the gap , with Trump edging ahead at 45/44 in mid-June and further eꩲxtending his lead to 47/43 f♉ollowing the presidential debate.
The turning point came when Biden withdrew from the race and endorsed Kamala Harris as the next Democratic candidate, which revitalised the party’s prospects. The impact on the polls was immediate. Harris debuted at 46% tied with Trump in the first polls of the new electoral mat🧸chu✃p, and her support continued to grow throughout August, peaking at 47/43 by the end of the month.
While thi🎶s election season has seen many twists and turns, none may prove as pivotal to the Democrats’ chances as Kamala Harris stepping in for Joe Biden.
U.S. Elections Betting Odds
Considering that the polls now favour Harris, you might be surprised to learn that most bookmakers have the candidates tied with identical odds. The only exception we’ve found is Spreadex sportsbook, who give Trump a slight edge.
The reason for this is simple. While polls can help understand election probabilities, they are far from perfect, and often don’t capture the whole picture. Remember that Hillary Clinton had anywhere ♑between a 70 to 90% chance of winning, with a one to seven lead in the national polls (against Trump, in 2016).
Bookmakers, however, are more cautious. Conside𝓡r, for instance, that we haven’t yet seen a debate between Trump and Harris, and that the latter may be enjoying a surge of popularity that is typical of new candidates.
Given how much can change in a few months, there’s always the potential for something to shift public perception bౠefore votes are cast. Taking all this into account, it’s understandable why bookmakers hꦺave concluded that this election could go either way.
| Bookmaker | Harris To Be U.S. President | Trump To Be U.S. President |
|---|---|---|
| Parimatch | 10/11 | 10/11 |
| bet365 | 10/11 | 10/11 |
| BetVictor | 10/11 | 10/11 |
| Spreadex | 87/100 | 1/1 |
| Coral | 10/11 | 10/11 |
Note
The odds are correct as of 9/2/2024
Shop around for the best odds
It is likely that every political betting website you come across will offer odds on the U.S. elections. And even though most may be identical, there are likely to be exceptions. With that in mind, it’s a good idea to shop around to see if you can secure larger potential returns on your pick. You could even sign up to multiple bookmakers for the best odds and promotional opportunities.
U.S. Political Betting Markets
Betting on U.S. politics often focuses on elections, including predicting the next president, which party will win cont𓄧rol, and how individual states will vote. That said, any significant American political event can become a betting market.
For instance, odds might be offered on Supreme Court decisions, whether a sitting president will face impeachment, or if they’ll complete a full term. Given the global fascination with U.S. political betting, it’s common to find competitive odds on a broad 🤪array of su🐷ch markets.
Here are some of the most🍬 popular and widely available options.
Predict who will be the next President of the United States. It’s important to remember that this isn’t merely about which party will win, but who will be the individual that emerges victorious as U.S. President. Betting on a candidate, only to see them be replaced or drop out, me🌠ans losing, regardles🐠s of whether their party succeeds.
In this market, the focus is on which political party will emerge victorious in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The outcome depends on whether the Democratic of Republican Pওarty secures the U.S. government, regardless of the specific candidate.
Predict which political party will receive the highest total number of votes nationwide in the 2024 U.S. election. It’s purely about the popular vote, separate from the Electoral Collegꦓe results. It’s even possible for the winner of the electoral vote to lose the popular vote outright, as was the case in 2016, 2000, 1888﷽, 1876, and 1824.
UK Political Betting Markets
The UK offers a broad and diverse range of political odds, second only to the USA in terms of availability. These markets cover typical political topics, such as who will form the next government, alongside more unique options, like whether the UK will hold a referendum on the mona💜rchy, or if Liz Truss will as Prime Minister (spoiler alert: she didn’t). The combination of broad availability and distinct variety makes UK politics an exciting place for predictions.
Here are ꦺsome to look out for if you’re 🐲searching for the best political betting UK markets:
The 2024 United Kingdom general election took place on the 4th June 2024 and saw the opposition Labour Government, led by Kier Starmer, defeat the incumbent Conservative Party, led by Rishi Sunak, in a landslide victory. It is the first La🔜bour government since 2010. Labour achieved a 174-seat majority with 33.7% of the vote, for a total of 411 seats. When political betting on the UK elections, it’s important to remember that even a majority government does 💛not require most of the vote.
The Conservative government lost 251 seats with 23🗹.7% of the vote, the worst result in their nearly 200-year history. It was a very fruitful election for smaller parties, who enjoyed a record 42.6% of the vote. The largest of these were the Liberal Democrats, who won 72 seats. Reform UK won five seats, and the Green Party won four.
In Wal🥀es, Plaid Cymru won four seats. In Scotland, the Scottish National Party lost 39 seats and their status as t🐼hird-largest party in the House of Commons. Northern Ireland saw Sinn Fein retain its seven seats and become the largest party in the country.
This was a truly historic election, one which proves that records can still be broken. For those looking to bet on politics, it serves as a reminder not to assume that the status quo will persist. The results also reveal the unique political landscape across different regions on the UK, highlighting diverse opportunities for those skilled at analysing this regional difference. There’s ample potential for strategic wagering based on these distinctions.
Forecast the outcome of the next UK election, focusing on which party will win the most seats in the House of Commons and form the next government. UK elections are usually dominated by the Labour and Conservative parties, but odds on smaller parties are also available if you sense a potential upset. Remember, surprises can and do happen — just look at the formed in 2010 for proof.
You’re challenged in this market to anticipate who will be selected as the next leader of the UK Conservative Party. This is determined via a vote by party members as opposed to an꧅ ele🅺ction open to the general public.
Once regarded as an immovable British institution, the royal family now faces immense scrutiny. So much so, in fact, that you can now bet on whether there will be a referendum on the monarchy by the end of the decade. Keep in mind, this bet is solely about whether the referendum will take place, not the outcome of the vote i♎tself.
Speculate on the timing of the next Scottish independence referendum — one of the UK’s most pressing political q♛uestions. This market offers a unique opportunity to analyse shifts in political will and public sentiment. Bookmakers usually set a deadline for the referendum, and your bet will be settled successfully should the vote take place before that date.
Using polls in a one-sided election
Finding valuable betting markets often involves spotting odds that seem mispriced. For example, if the implied probability of an outcome is 10% but you believe it has a better-than-even chance, this could indicate excellent value.
But this is not always the case as sometimes the polls and bookmakers are simply correct. They overwhelmingly predicted a Labour victory, with Keir Starmer’s odds at 1/100 to become the next Prime Minister. Such a one-sided race often leads to unappealing odds, offering either very modest returns or extremely unlikely scenarios.
However, there was notable disagreement among pollsters regarding the size of Labour’s majority, with estimates ranging from . Given that Labour ultimately secured 41🐭1 seats, it’s clear that exploring markets beyond simple election results can often yield better value when using poll data in similar scenarios.
Rest-of-the-World Political Betting Markets
Even on the best UK bookmakers, political betting🀅 is often dominated by UK and U.S. markets. But there are exceptions. Many of our recommended bookmakers, such as bet365 and SportingBet, provide a diverse range of worldwide political betting markets. To illustrate the breadth of the potential markets, here are a few fascinating ex✤amples with international implications.
Predict whether a referendum on Irish unification will be held by 2030. This focuses on whether Northern Ireland will vote on potentially joining the Republic of Ireland within this period. This market is not affected by the result of such a vote, but ꦐis simply determined by whether that vote takes place before the deadline. Political odds don’t geꦬt much more historic nor as emotionally charged as this.
Forecast the outcome of Sweden’s upcoming general election, focusing on which party or coalition will secure the most seats in the Riksdag, Sweden’s national parliament. When you bet on politics, always focus on your own area of expertise, and platforms like BetUK sportsbook are enabling more people to take adv🦄antage of their knowledge of other European countries.
Betting on Politics Explained
Political betting allows you to wager on the outcomes of political events, working much like traditional sports betting. J🌼ust as you might bet on the Premier League winner, you can bet on who will become the next U.S. president. The process is identical — signing up, depositing funds, selecting a market, and placing your bet. Political betting categories are often found alongside other sports. Occasionally, they will be included as part of “specials” markets.
Many UK sportsbooks now offer odds on general elections, leadership contests, referendums, and local elections. The best novelty betting sites go further still, covering everything from the next U.S. election tꦬo whether a coalition government will form in Australia.
When it comes to sports betting terms, politica🥀l betting is not that high on the list. However, it is becoming increasingly popular. On toℱp political betting sites, you’ll find a vast and varied selection of political markets with competitive odds.
Why Should You Bet on Politics?
While everyone has their own reasons for finding any variety of betting exciting, we would say that three key things make betting on politics exhilarating in its own unique way. These positive attributes apply broadly whether you’re looking at bet365 political betting or L🙈adbrokes political betting.
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Exceptional Value: While this does depend on the individual market, political odds often provide great value. 🥂For instance, if you bet on politics early enough — whether it’s months before an election or years before a referendum deadline — you’ll often enjoy quite spectacular odds. If you have sharp analytica൩l skills and can identify long-term underdog winners, these opportunities could prove highly profitable.
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Greater Variety: We advocate for a wider range of betting markets, in general, so long as they offer decent returns. The more options out there, the better your chances of discovering high valued odds. The addition of ꦅpolitical markets to bookmakers can, therefore, onl🌸y be a good thing. Either nothing stands out to you — in which case you’ve lost nothing, or it does, giving you a whole new avenue of betting to explore. And it’s a category without many limitations — if a variable is related to politics, it’s a potential market.
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Real-World Impact: When betting on politics, the events you will be wagering on will likely have a massive real-world impact. This means there are even greater stakes beyond your wager, and that can provide an incredibly interesting and exciting experience. It’s also a kind of social betting, as often, wha🌳t you arꦚe betting about will impact everyone in a way no sport could.
How To Bet on Politics & Elections
We’ve s🗹een why and where to bet on politics, but how do you get started? The following step-by-step guide provides all the𒐪 answers.
Promotions and Betting Offers
While specific promotions for political betting are not widely advertised, top bookmakers often offer generous promotions that can be used generally. Many of these, including welcome offers and free bets, are not restricted to individual sports and can be applied to political ma𒆙rkets as well.
However, since the availability of political betting ma𓂃rkets in promotional offers isn’t always clearly stated in t📖he terms and conditions, it’s a good idea to check with customer service. To help you find your new favourite promotion, below are three favourites that we’ve confirmed to be available for political betting.
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1.
With two promotions relevant to political markets, BetVictor stands tall amongst the competition. First, their “Get “£20 in Free Bets” welcome offer is available to new UK customers (registered within the last seven days) over 18 who deposit via debit card or Apple Pay. Simply place a £10 bet on any market with odds of evens or greater, and you’ll receive £20 of free bets to use on any market, including political odds, within seven days. Additionally, their Lucky Dip markets allow you to place your stake on a political betting market and spin the♒ wheel for randomised odds, offering potentially🌊 huge returns.
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If you’re looking for the biggest welcome offer possible available for use with political betting odds, the “100% up to £50 welcome bonus” from 10bet sportsbook is an excellent choice. To claim it, s𝄹imply register, deposit using the bonus code S🍒PORT, and receive a 100% matched bonus up to £50. This bonus is valid for 60 days and comes with a competitive 8x wagering requirement.
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TalkSPORT BET sportsbook offers a unique and generous promotion: triple your returns on any sport, including political betting. We’ve confirmed with customer service that political markets are covered by this offer too. To take advantage of it, simply sign up, opt into the promotion via the OFFERS tab, and deposit using a debit card or Apple Pay. Then, place a singles betᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚ𒀱ᩚᩚᩚ up to £5 with minimum odds of 2.00 within seven days of opening your account. Your total returns will be tripled autom𝓰atically, with no wagering requirements.
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Top Politics Betting Tips
One of the most exciting aspects of political betting is the near limitless poteꦬntial for diverse odds. But regardless of the specific market, certain strategic principles can help you place smarter ♈bets across the board. With that in mind, here are our top five strategic tips.
Bet Early
When you bet on politics early, you typically secure better odds and a higher potential return. Consider, for example, the race for the 2028 Republican nomination. At the start, several candidates might be in the running, with the odds likely to shorten as the field narrows. Betting early allows you to lock in more favourable odds.
Similarly, in UK elections, before polling data becomes available, the outcome is often less certain, leading t𒅌o more lucrative potential returns. This strategy holds true for most political betting markets.
Don’t Bet Emotionally
The subjects of political odds often carry strong emotional ties. You might be personally invested in an election, or care deeply about a referendum. This can make strategic betting challenging, as it’s easy to confuse what you want to happen with what’s logically most likely to occur. It’s very easy to unwisely convince ourselves that these two things are one and the same.
If you find yourself too emotionally invested and unable to analyse p🌃olitical betting odds objectively, the best advice is to explore alternative markets where you can bet more rationally.
Consider Your Sources Carefully
Finding trustworthy sources for political betting can be a challenge. Unlike sports betting, where statistics are more straightforward, political odds are often clouded by bias and subjective opinions. To ensure you have the best tools for market analysis, it’s crucial to seek out the best quality sources possible for your subject. Whenever possible, gather information from multiple reputable sources with differing politic🔯al perspectives to gain a more comprehensive and balanced view.
Beware of Polls
While polls can be useful tools for gauging the odds, they are also flawed. This has been spotlighted by several recent instances of them being drastically wrong in major political events. They provide a snapshot of people’s opinions, but don’t always tell us the whole picture.
Keep in mind t🍎hat polls are only indicators of probability. While it’s important to consider them seriously, be sure𝓰 to view their results with a critical eye and to be aware of their limitations.
Consider the Value of the Odds
There are essentially two steps in deciding whether a market is right for you, and this is the case in many forms of gambling, not just betting on politics.
First, you need to consider what you think is likely to happen, or who/what is likely to win. In other words, what market do you think would represent a successful bet?
The second part is working out whether the odds provide good value. If, for instance, you think a candidate has a 60% chance of winning, but they are given odds equivalent to 80%, that would still represent an unwise bet. This often happens with favourites, especially in elections. You can also compare the best odds of top politic🐠al betting sites to ensure you’re gettin꧅g the best returns possible.
ThePuntersPage Final Say
Political betting allows you to predict and potentially profit from a wide range of topics, spanning beyond traditional sports betting. It’s ideal for those who are passionate about politics and want to🔜 test their analytical skills.
And while political markets may cover unique subjects not found in sports betting, the practicalities remain largely unchanꦰged — from depositing funds and placing bets to enjoying promotions. The process is familiar, though the subjects are different, providi🦩ng more ways to bet online than ever before.
Political Betting FAQs
There are lots of great sites for betting on politics. While our favourite picks can be found at 𒅌the top of this article, our top three bookies would be Parimatch, bet365, and BetVictor.
In terms of bet types, there’s a selection of prop bets, straight picks, and handicap bets. Typical examples include predictions on things like elections and referendums. Really though, anything related to politics that could pose a 🍸prediction can be offered for betting on politics.
Yes. Any𒁏 bet on a licensed UK bookie is 100% legal. On top of that, winnings from any bet you place will also be tax-free.
Yes. While UK markets may be mos🔜t common for a political betting website aimed at British users, anything they think may be of interest to their users can be bet on. That includes U.S. political betting, and indeed, politics from all around the world.
It depends on the terms and conditions of that specific promotion; however, there are many sports promotions that can be used on specials markets, such 🅰as betting on politics. That said, 🐬keep in mind that many offers have time limits, which may be an issue if the outcome of your bet will be settled many months or even years into the future.
No, not all sites allow you to b🐽et on p꧋olitics. However, it is becoming more common. You will usually find political odds either as part of a “specials” page or alongside the other available sports.
First and foremost, ensure the site meets all the standard criteria: it should be secure, reputable, reliable, and user-friendly, with features that accommodate your practical needs, such as mobile access and appropriate banking methods. Specifically for political betting, seek out sites that offer competitive o꧅dds on the markets you’re interested in. Additionally, if you’re interested in bonus benefits, pick sites that provide promotions applicable to those odds.